- 英中对照
- 中英对照
- 英文在前
- 中文在前
- 只看英文
- 只看中文
Experts: China'sQ1 GDPtogrowataround 4%
我国主要经济指标持续改善 预计一季度GDP同比增速4%左右
China'smajoreconomicindicatorshavecontinuedtoimprovesincethestartoftheyear. Withstrongermarketexpectations, thecountry'seconomicdevelopmentispickingup. AnumberofeconomistsbelievethatChina'seconomicrecoverywillseeastrongmomentum, expectingGDPgrowthinthefirstquartertobearoundfourpercentonayearlybasis, accordingtoareportbySecuritiesTimesonMonday.
《证券日报》周一发布的报告称，今年以来，我国主要经济指标持续改善，市场预期加快好转，经济发展仍在企稳回升之中。多位经济学家普遍预计，未来我国经济复苏动能强劲，一季度GDP同比增速在4%左右。
Industrialoutputincreasedby 2.4 percentyear-on-yearinthefirsttwomonths, andtheservicesectorproductionindexroseby 5.5 percentonayearlybasisinthesameperiod.
1月份至2月份工业增加值累计同比增长2.4%，服务业生产指数累计同比增长5.5%。
InMarch, themanufacturingPMIremainedatahighlevelandthenon-manufacturingPMIcontinuedtorise. Regardingthelowbaseinthesameperiodlastyear, theyear-on-yeareconomicgrowthmayfurtheraccelerate, saidBianQuanshui, chiefmacroeconomicresearcheratWesternSecurities.
西部证券宏观首席分析师边泉水表示，3月份制造业PMI维持高位、非制造业PMI继续上行，叠加去年同期基数偏低，经济同比增速可能进一步加快。
Theeconomicrecoverysincetheyear'sbeginninghasbeenbetterthanexpected, Biansaid, addingthatGDPgrowthinthefirstquarterislikelytobehigherthanexpected, ataround 3.4 to 4 percent.
总体上看，年初以来经济回升好于预期。一季度GDP同比增速可能高于预期，预计实现3.4%至4%左右的增长。
GDPgrowthinthefirstquarterisexpectedtobearound 4.0 percentyear-on-year, 1.1 percentagepointshigherthanthatinthefourthquarterof 2022, saidFengLin, aresearcherwithGoldenCreditRating.
东方金诚高级分析师冯琳表示，一季度GDP有望同比增长4.0%左右，增速比2022年四季度加快1.1个百分点。
Therapidrecoveryofhouseholdconsumptionandthehighgrowthofinfrastructureinvestmentinthefirstquarterarethemaindrivingforcesfortheeconomicrecoveryinthefirstquarter, Fengsaid, addingthatresilientmanufacturinginvestmentandthediminishingdrageffectofrealestateinvestmenthaveallboostedtheeconomicgrowth.
冯琳表示，一季度助力经济回升的主要推动力有两个，首先是居民消费较快回升。其次是基建投资保持高增长，制造业投资韧性强，地产投资的拖累效应在减弱。
Risingmarketdemandisalsoplayingacertainroleinboostingconfidenceinmanufacturinginvestment, whichwillremainresilientintheshortterm, theresearchersaid.
当前市场需求上升，也对制造业投资信心起到一定提振作用。短期内制造业投资仍会保持较强韧性。
AccordingtoaresearchreportbyGreatWallSecurities, GDPinthefirstquarterisprojectedtoreboundtoaround 4.3 percent, ofwhichgovernmentconsumptionexpenditureandcapitalformation, importantsupportingforcesfortheeconomicrecoveryinthefirstquarter, willbeabout 0.8 percentagepointsand 2 percentagepoints, respectively.
长城证券研报显示，测算一季度GDP已经回升到4.3%左右，其中政府消费支出和资本形成分别拉动约0.8和2个百分点，是一季度经济回升的重要支撑力量。
Asdomesticconsumptioniskeytoeconomicgrowth, macropoliciesneedtocontinuetoboostconsumption, stabilizeinvestmentandboostmarketconfidence, Fengadded.
冯琳认为，当前要更加倚重内需，宏观政策需要在促消费、稳投资、提振市场信心等方面持续发力。
来源：中国日报
编辑：yaning
本文转载自中国日报网，如有侵权，请联系我们删除。